THE
EURO DISASTER PREDICTED - IN DETAIL, IN ADVANCE
Rodney
Atkinson
I wrote this analysis of the Euro, what it would
mean and its disastrous consequences in 2000. I had warned for years of the disastrous
political and constitutional nature of the European Union itself (starting in
1989 with Your Country Your Democracy) and of course I stood for the Referendum
Party in 1997 which was the turning point in British politics because we forced
the other parties to commit to a referendum of the British people before adopting
the Euro - a referendum which they dared not hold. Sir James Goldsmith and his
Referendum Party probably saved the British people from Greek or Spanish type
conditions today - unpayable debts, 22% unemployment, 50% youth unemployment,
economic and social breakdown.
I think this chapter from my book
Fascist Europe Rising (written in 2000 and published in 2001, available
on Kindle or see Publications on this website) was a devastating warning
at the time. More or less everything predicted then has come to pass. So, Your
Majesty, you cannot say "No one warned us". Your disloyal Ministers
did not warn you either because they did not have "the wherewithal"
as my late and dear friend Norris McWhirter used to say! or they actually believed
in betraying Your Majesty's country, its democracy and its sovereignty. For in
the democratic world Your Majesty's Sovereignty is the people's Democracy!
In
this exposé of the disastrous Euro all the elements of the crisis were
predicted in detail: mass unemployment, migration, divergence of economies, capital
flight, political conflict, massive divergence of interest rates between member
states, the Euro's threat to the USA, a boost to Scottish and Welsh Nationalism,
the political powerlessness of the Left (who promoted the whole fiasco) to fight
unemployment and financial dictatorship, the need for - but impossibility of -
massive transfers of funds to impoverished member states and the dawning realisation
of how a national currency is the essence of national sovereignty. I am sorry
this is so long - but it is extremely short compared to the decades long suffering
Europe will now require to recover from this self inflicted disaster. As in the
last war it is the perpetrators who must pay the reparations.
THE
EURO - WHAT IT REALLY MEANS
1. THE PAST RECORD OF FIXING EXCHANGE RATES
There
were three attempts at monetary union in Europe (uniting under one currency) in
the 19th century - all failed. In 1987 the Tory Government tried to fix the Pound
to the Deutschmark. This failed but not before causing an inflationary boom, the
consequences of which still debilitate British citizens today. In 1992 the European
Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) broke up completely, but not before instigating
the longest recession since the 1930s. The two major international attempts to
fix exchange rates - the Gold Standard in the 1920s (which led to the depression)
and the fixed exchange rates agreed at Bretton Woods in the 1940s also broke up,
as even politicians gradually realised that no one can fix any economic relationship
without destroying the whole basis of the free and dynamic economy which relies
on spontaneous changes in those relationships. The Euro (or Single European Currency)
however is even more dangerous than these historical failures to control exchange
rates since it is part of an "irrevocable" plan to create a superstate
with one economy, one central bank, one government etc.
Perhaps the shortest
monetary union of all time was that between the Czechs and the Slovaks after Czechoslovakia
broke up in 1992. They tried to maintain a single currency between the two now
sovereign states. They rapidly found that the management of a single currency
was impossible between two democratic sovereign governments - even of two states
which had together constituted one nation for over 70 years (with a break during
the war when the Nazis split the country into two, just as "German Europe"
has once again achieved today!)
Just as in the 1930s British appeasers of
European Fascism tried to convince the British people that their nation was in
terminal decline and that therefore an accommodation with Hitler would be advantageous
so in the modern era those who are trying to build a United States of Europe,
have tried similar tactics. In fact, despite our decline since joining the EEC
in 1972, during the 1990s (because the United Kingdom opted out of Europe's social
chapter (up to 1997) and the economic straightjackets of the Exchange Rate Mechanism
and the EURO) Britons enjoyed an unprecedented period of economic growth. While
other EU countries suffered years of mass unemployment, huge debts and (up to
1998) little growth, Britain flourished. British industrial workers became the
richest in the EU and while the other countries had 6 years of stagnation and
unemployment the British enjoyed economic growth and ever lower unemployment.
Even today, after two years of modest economic growth in the European Union, unemployment
in the UK is between one half and one third of the levels in France, Germany,
Italy and Spain and in August 2001 reached a 26 year low.
2. WHAT THE
SINGLE CURRENCY MEANS
The abolition of the Pound would not "merely"
mean there would be no British control over the economy, interest rates or the
exchange rate, there would be no such thing as the British economy, British
interest rates or a British exchange rate. Therefore the British parliament -
as befits a regional assembly - would have no economic control whatsoever over
our economy. Economic policy would be controlled by Brussels (just as, now, Yorkshire's
and Scotland's economic policy is decided in London).
The EURO, even before
it was launched, proved to be a very weak currency. Even in anticipation of the
EURO, the Deutsch-mark fell by about 30% against the Pound and the Dollar between
1992 and 1999 (thus giving Germany's supposed "sacrifices" a flying
start). Since its launch the Euro (and hence all its member currencies) has fallen
a further 15% against the Pound and 25% against the US Dollar. A weak currency
will seek to protect itself. Having the powers to influence the EURO exchange
rate the European Central Bank could, acting on a majority vote, impose exchange
controls on the United Kingdom (or any other member state) thus preventing investment
abroad. (Maastricht Treaty Article 730 and under Article 73 g:
The Council
may take the necessary urgent measures on the movement of capital and on payments
as regards the third countries concerned.
If the UK should abolish the Pound
then it will become effectively a local authority within the new country called
"Europe". Just as local authorities within the UK could be "rate
capped" by the British Government so the Maastricht Treaty allows the UK
to be fined if it does not meet borrowing, spending and inflation targets set
by the new Government in Brussels. The idea that a country, which is so weak that
it cannot meet economic targets, can then be fined is ludicrous but demonstrates
clearly the intended "local authority" status of the UK within the European
Union.
It is illegal under the Maastricht Treaty for the British Government
or any British minister to even try to influence the governors of the European
Central Bank. No matter how high unemployment rose no politician could complain
to the European Central Bank, which has complete and unchallengeable power. Even
Gordon Brown, the first Chancellor of the Exchequer since the war to give the
Bank of England complete independence to set interest rates, has on occasion tried
to influence the Bank to lower interest rates.
Despite no Conservative election
manifesto ever having mentioned the abolition of the currencies of the EU and
the possible abolition of the Pound, Douglas Hurd, the then Foreign Secretary
signed the Maastricht Treaty on Economic and Monetary Union which said just that.
Indeed, the so-called "opt out" of the United Kingdom from the Single
European Currency is so unclear and ambiguous it is possible for Britain to be
forced against its will into the EURO. Having left office, Douglas, now Lord,
Hurd said: "I have never been an advocate of the Single European Currency."
German
politicians, claiming as always that the European Union was designed to counter
"dangerous nationalism" insisted that the European Central Bank should
be based in Frankfurt. Indeed it was a German Finance Minister who said that "Either
the European Central Bank comes to Frankfurt or the Euro will not get off the
ground". The European Single Currency is "managed" by the unelected
bureaucrats of the Frankfurt Bank. But to do so they will need to have detailed
information about money supply, inflation and economic activity and the control
of Euro bank note printing in every EMU country. In addition the ECB will have
to trust each participating country not to print too many Euros! Given the trustworthiness
of the process so far this is an extraordinary risk. The Board of the European
Central Bank in Frankfurt has decided not to publish its minutes or voting record
or even its inflation forecasts - all taken for granted in the United Kingdom
and the United States. The ECB's guidelines - as we enter a period of potentially
crippling deflation - contain a ceiling but no floor for inflation. In other words
they could not respond to a massive deflationary fall in prices and the extremely
high unemployment that might cause. There is of course no convergence criterion
for unemployment levels.
The utter contempt with which the once free nations
of Europe will be treated by bankers in a single European Currency was well illustrated
by Otmar Issing an executive member of the European Central Bank board in an article
in The Financial Times (where else?) of 22nd September 1998: "National
considerations must not play a role with the ECB even when conditions in one country
differ markedly from the Euro-area average." In other words if peripheral
nations like Italy, Portugal or the UK have very high unemployment, or high inflation
nothing will be done for them, since only the core of the system matters. We can
be sure that there will be even less willingness in Germany and France to pay
massively higher taxes to provide "regional" subsidies to the United
Kingdom, Italy or Ireland - although funds may be forthcoming in return for political
obedience to the Euro-integrationists' will!
Since the British parliament and
government would have no control over what would be no more than a "regional
economy", they could in no way influence demand, interest rates, mortgage
costs or economic activity. The present limited independence of the Bank of England
can be removed by the decision of a British government but the permanent constitutional
independence of the European Central Bank (which at present controls the entire
Euro-zone countries and would control the UK should we decide to abolish the Pound)
is completely out of the British government's control. After centuries of conflict
between the House of Lords and the House of Commons over which controls money,
the controversy would be resolved by control passing to Brussels and Frankfurt.
Britain would no more exist as a national economy than does Bavaria or Alabama.
A
Single European Currency would mean a federal superstate, like the United States
but without its (not very good) national cohesion. Europe, politically divided
by 12 languages, with populations which take little interest in each others affairs
cannot even form a common public opinion never mind become a united democratic
voice. Therefore all common action would be seen by the national electorates as
illegitimate. Indeed this is precisely why "Europe" was created without
asking its peoples.
No other region of the world is even proposing to unite
their currencies (and therefore governments) - not even North America, and certainly
not South East Asia. They are not so foolish. Indeed Asian countries point to
the European Union as an example of what not to do and even the United States
which has been instrumental (especially under the Kennedy, Bush and Clinton administrations)
in helping to create the present European Union finds itself at odds with EU economic,
exchange rate and trade policies and would not dream of involving itself in a
similar constitutional State covering North America.
The Pound sterling
is to British national democracy what a name is to an individual - without it
neither can draw funds, spend or borrow as they wish, or even exist as a sovereign
nation or as an independent individual. Many supporters of the abolition of the
Pound (and therewith our sovereign nation) will claim that the abolition of all
the currencies within the EU in favour of the Euro is no different from fixing
currencies between nations. Needless to say, there is no comparison and the former
link between the Irish punt and the Pound demonstrates why.
First, linking
the Punt with the Pound in no way prevented movement of the Punt/Pound against
other European currencies. Secondly despite the most intimate links which exist
between any two European nations (investment, business, migration from Ireland
to the UK, common language) the Irish were able to cut the currency link. Third
it was when the Punt was able to find its proper level against the Pound that
Irish assets and labour could be rationally priced by foreign investors in Ireland
- so inward investment increased. This allowed many Irish people in England to
return home and prosper where their hearts were - in their own homeland.
None
of this has been possible within the EURO and as a result the Irish economy is
out of control with 6% inflation but within the same currency as Germany with
less than 1% inflation. The answer would be for Ireland to tax its own citizens
or severely cut back on its Government expenditure but the Irish voter did not
elect its government to do that. No government would dare to risk electoral unpopularity
in order to appease the European Central Bank in Frankfurt.
When the newly
emerged free nations of Eastern Europe escaped the Soviet communist yoke their
first step was to create their own national currency. For with a national currency
a nation "breathes" and shows that it really exists. A freely convertible
currency (that was also Russia's first step after the break up of the Soviet Union)
reflects real supply and demand, domestic assets, production value, overseas earnings
and future prospects for all of these things.
Conversely when the Nazis
marched into other countries in their plan to "integrate" the nations
of Europe one of their first measures was to take over and control those nations'
currencies. As a Rothschild once remarked, if you control a currency you control
the nation. The Nazis had rigid controls of the currencies of the countries they
took over. They set up a central bank in Berlin and organised a central clearing
of payments - as a prelude to a single European currency. Real economic liberals
and democrats know that you do not need a single currency to enjoy free trade.
Dictators, fascists and the European Union know that you cannot control countries
without abolishing their currencies.
A national currency also reflects the
relative values of those who live in a country. (Some countries put more weight
on leisure and families rather than production and wealth, some put religious
observance before business interests, others reverse these priorities.) Climate
and history also need to be (and are) reflected in the movements of national currencies.
3.
NATIONS, REGIONS AND MIGRATION
A Single European Currency would mean that
"regional economies" (at present represented by the nation states and
their currencies which move up and down to reflect their specific economic conditions)
would, like Ireland, be deprived of the natural and critical movement of their
currency and would therefore have to find other mechanisms to restore economic
balance. These would include:
massive inward social payments (from other
regions- i.e. nations)
large outward migrations of labour (to other nations)
or
much
higher taxes (imposed by the European Commission)
large inward migrations of
labour (from other nations)
Either eventuality would mean burgeoning taxes
and power flowing to the central "government" in Europe and mass migrations
of labour across national/linguistic/cultural borders, heightening social alienation
and political tension.
In America, where there is (only after the deaths
of 600,000 in the civil war) one recognised government, one history and one language,
over 7 million people move between states every year. Within the European Union
this would be neither linguistically nor politically possible.
It is deeply
ironic that, given the role of German and French political leaders in creating
the European Union and driving towards further integration that the least crossed
border in the European Union is that between France and Germany. (Their populations
in their spontaneous choices totally reject the grandiose political schemes of
their "leaders"). The stability of nations and their cultural cohesion
depend on the retention of their populations and the stability of their families
and opportunities for work. These in turn depend on the flow of capital replacing
the flow of workers. This is the whole point of free markets in capital and it
is all too typical of the real aims of the founders of the European Union that
the alienation of migrating labour did not concern them.
But what has actually
happened since the launch of the EURO, founded to give a cohesive single monetary
market for investment flows? Has the one major economy, which has remained outside
the EURO, suffered from a lack of inward investment? No - nor was this likely
since there have always been large flows of inward investment into the UK dating
from long before our membership of the European Union and inward investors need
a free market in the currency of the nation in which they are investing in order
to judge their (true) costs. The proof of the pudding is in the fact that since
the UK decided to stay out of the EURO, foreign inward investment has reached
record levels - £38.1 billion in 1998. Many of the investors are French
and German companies escaping the enormous social and taxation burdens within
the European Union! In the year to March 2000 inward investment rose 16% and since
the Blair Government was elected in 1997 on a "wait and see" approach
to the Euro the stock of inward investment has increased to £252 billion.
There
are a number of important issues which could in theory give stability to an economy,
even one the size of the European Union (assuming of course that it were possible
politically). They are inward investment, convergence of different parts of the
European economy and above all the movement of capital.
If capital is free
to move or is not inhibited by the burdens of regulation and taxation from moving
then it will flow to where jobs are in short supply thus making the migration
of labour unnecessary. But it is a sign of the true intentions of those who founded
the European Union that it was the movement of people which interested them most,
for that, rather than the free movement of capital would more quickly break up
the cohesion of the nation states. (The cultural and linguistic alienation of
those forced to migrate was of course of no concern.)
For such migration to
be unnecessary large amounts of inward investment were necessary and it is the
very country which has rejected the Euro, the United Kingdom, which has witnessed
the greatest inflow of investment. There has always been large inward investment
into the United Kingdom both because Britons have always been internationalist
in their outlook and because of the large network of trading and financial operations
based in the City of London.
If the Euro-zone countries provided a stable
base for inward investors then that would increase job security and make migration
of workers unnecessary but here again the facts show how those countries which
have adopted the Euro are in fact breaking apart from each other. Far from converging
they are diverging. The accounting firm Chantrey Vellacott found that the index
of divergence of interest rates from their natural rate within each national economy
of the Euro-zone worsened from 62 in January 1999 to 115 in October 1999 - zero
would mean complete convergence. In other words (see Ireland above) an inward
investor would have to reckon with great instability within the Euro-zone member
states and therefore investment decisions become more difficult.
4.
THE NATION'S CURRENCY AND THE NATION'S ASSETS
If Britain were to join the
European Single Currency, we would contribute all our physical, financial and
business assets to the EURO and to the State which that currency represents. Borrowings
and liabilities in the European Union in general would be financed by international
lenders looking to, for example, British oil, gas, coal (and pension funds) as
de facto collateral.
The reason we never talk of "Scottish oil"
but there is such a thing as "Norwegian oil" is because Scotland does
not have its own currency (and is therefore not a sovereign nation) while Norway
does. The Single European Currency would mean that in future North Sea Oil would
be "European Oil". Indeed the European Treaties Britain has already
signed refer to "common resources" which include of course physical
assets onshore or offshore the UK. The European Parliament has on many occasions
claimed that North Sea oil and gas are "European resources", not British
and the entry of the UK into the EURO would finally bring that about.
While
Britain would bring invaluable assets to the EURO, other member states bring massive
liabilities, particularly in the form of unfunded future pensions. Germany's liabilities
total 139% of annual Gross Domestic Product. France's liabilities total 98% of
GDP and Italy's are 113% of GDP. This means that if the debt were spread across
the European Union as a whole (and a single European currency of course does just
that) it would cost the British people £1.2 thousand billion or £25,000
per head (source: House of Commons Social Security Committee).
The United
Kingdom has the second biggest pension assets in the world after the United States.
Britons can look to $2,000 trillion ($2,000,000,000,000,000) (source: The Economist)
to secure their retirement - more than all the other European Union countries
combined. Had we joined the EURO in January 1999 these pension assets would by
now be worth $20 trillion less! Indeed it is odd that American corporations are
still so supportive of the Euro, given that all their assets inside Euro zone
countries are now worth at least 20% less than they were on January 1st 1999.
They will have had to account for these exchange losses in their accounts. I wonder
what their shareholders think of the great "European project" now?
5.
FRAUD AND THE CENTRALISATION OF POWER
The Institute of Chartered Accountants
has said: "The Euro will inevitably provide more opportunities for fraud.
Money laundering across national frontiers is likely to become a major issue."
There has already been a theft of sensitive printing materials used to print the
Euro and the German banks have said that the security implications of distributing
Euro notes and coins are so enormous that the German army will be needed to carry
it out. We can only imagine what will be happening in Italy and the enticing prospects
for the Mafia - although criminals are apparently quite looking forward to using
Euro denominated large bank notes which are considerably lighter than lorry loads
of Lira!
The Euro is being printed in most of the Euro-zone countries and
in fact by British printing firms but it is not just the logistics of co-ordinating
so many countries in one system of money printing and control but the extraordinary
naive idea that so many different governments, central banks (which paradoxically
carry on even in those countries which have abolished their currencies although
it is not clear why) different taxation systems and different track records in
even paying tax can run a currency when they have not even created one country.
But
it is just such conflicts which are welcomed by the worst eurofanatics because
they think that each crisis will lead to more central power, the consolidation
of the new State and the destruction of the powers of the parliaments and governments
of the nation states. One of Britain's leading economists Professor Patrick Minford
was discussing the EURO with a member of the Bundesbank Board. The latter, when
warned by Minford that the Euro-zone countries were courting a real crisis said
that in fact they needed a crisis in order to consolidate the institutions of
the European Union and the power of the European Central Bank. Such an attitude
is not uncommon on the continent of Europe but would be unthinkable in Britain.
6.
THE IMPLICATIONS FOR DEMOCRACY
If the United Kingdom should abolish the
Pound then it will become effectively a local authority within the new country
called "Europe". As any local authority in the United Kingdom knows
they are ultimately controlled, have their budgets "capped" by and can
be fined by central government. Even local councillors can be arrested (see the
1970s case of the Clay Cross councillors in Derbyshire). That is precisely the
relationship between the real power in Europe (the European Commission and the
European Court) and the "local" British Government. The Maastricht Treaty
sets down the conditions under which the United Kingdom can be fined if it does
not meet borrowing, spending and inflation targets set by the new Government in
Brussels.
Gordon Brown, a proponent of the EURO, not long ago tried to bully
the Bank of England into altering interest rates. If his EURO were to be imposed
on Britain Mr Brown may as well retire - otherwise his bullying might land him
in a (European) court case! Certainly, as Herr Lafontaine the German Finance Minister
found out, there is no role for national control of money when a Government has
abolished its currency. So the Eurto abolished Herr Lafontaine!
Without
complete political control by European institutions of all spending and borrowing
within the countries which join the EURO, there will be fiscal and monetary chaos.
With such controls there will be massive political rejection as voters within
each "democratic nation" suddenly realise what has long been the case
- that their national "governments" and "parliaments" are
just puppets of a higher, unaccountable power. They will realise that virtually
all their democratic rights and the powers of their parliament to represent them
have been given away secretly behind their backs (without having ever been mentioned
in any political party's manifesto) and that in fact their nationhood effectively
no longer exists.
Indeed this is likely to become clear just when they are
in the middle of an economic crisis. Such a crisis could come in Ireland where
the economy is booming because the Euro exchange and interest rates are completely
wrong for that economy or in Germany where there is still very high unemployment
but also high interest rates (in order to counter boom conditions elsewhere and
to protect the value of the Euro). This will lead to a downturn in economic activity
and drive unemployment even higher. In either country if the European Central
Bank ordered the Irish or German governments to take action on government spending
or taxation their respective electorates would say, "who are these unelected
foreigners telling us what our government must do when we did not elect our own
MPs on that platform?"
Of course such conflicts have already arisen
on a daily basis in the political sphere where national parliaments and national
courts are powerless to resist the arbitrary edicts of the European Commission
and the European Court of Justice (sic). But it is in the economic sphere (where
everyone understands what a currency is, for they have it in their pockets) that
electoral resistance is likely to be strongest and where the resulting crisis
is felt directly in job losses and higher taxes. This is why the final stage of
the abolition of the free nations of Europe is presented as being "inevitable"
- precisely because the euro-fanatics fear it is far from "inevitable"
that the people will agree to it, or accept its consequences.
7.
THE IMPLICATIONS FOR BRITISH POLITICAL PARTIES
It is inevitable that within
a European Superstate of the kind which is nearing completion political parties
would bear no resemblance to the British Labour, Liberal and Conservative Parties
which have arisen over centuries to reflect the concerns of a national electorate.
Political Parties would represent not Conservatives, who believe in the nation
state (since the nation state is being abolished) but Christian Democrats who
believe in a predominantly Roman Catholic, Europe-wide superstate. They would
not represent Socialism since the dominant left wing view on the continent is
Social Democrat or Communist.
Needless to say a European union built on
the abolition of nation states would not spawn Scottish and Welsh national parties
or Ulster Unionist Parties.
The effects of EU membership on British political
parties have already been considerable. The Labour Party is unable to intervene
in the British national, regional or local economies (either to tax or to subsidise)
without permission from "Europe". They could never impose import controls
or protect certain industries; they could not take assets or companies into state
ownership since this would involve infringing spending controls or subsidy/competition
rules in Frankfurt and Brussels. Indeed when the Labour party tried to organise
women only short-lists for the selection of Labour MPs they were forced by European
Union law to stop the practice.
Free market capitalists in the Conservative
Party would be stuck with a EURO exchange rate which did not (and would never)
reflect the true state of the British economy while Conservatives in general could
no longer justify their party's existence since its very raison d'etre is the
nation state.
British Trade Unionists would have no influence whatsoever since
British unemployment would be of no significance to a central bank in Frankfurt
which by law is concerned only with inflation nor would high unemployment in the
"Euro-region" Britain be as important to the European Commission as
the EU labour market as a whole - or more specifically given the dominant Berlin
Paris axis in Germany and France.
Most social policy is already set in Brussels
thanks to the Trade Unionists' support for the European Union's Health and Safety
legislation and the Social Chapter of the Maastricht Treaty so British Trade Unionists
will never again decide these matters and will be powerless if one day there is
a majority within the EU to abolish such social rights - or indeed trade union
rights in general! But that of course is the result of the loss of constitutional
rights - sacrificed as we noted above in the blind pursuit of short term political
advantage.
One of the great and sudden converts to the abolition of the
Pound in favour of the EURO in recent years is one John Monks, President of the
TUC, whose conversion came as a result of regular attendance at Bilderberg meetings
during the early 1990s. As a result the leader of the TUC is a tireless campaigner
for the EURO. Unfortunately its membership opposes the EURO by 61% to 15% according
to an ICM poll. On 12th May 1999 a rally to promote the EURO failed - despite
a stage-managed platform of 8 eurofanatics to one anti EURO speaker and a conference
packed full of European Union propaganda. But since when has democracy ever had
anything to do with the "European project"?
8. DOUGLAS
HURD AND THE CONSTITUTIONAL DESTRUCTION OF BRITAIN
One of the chief architects
of Britain's surrender of its national rights to self government was Douglas Hurd,
the long time Foreign Secretary under the Thatcher and Major Tory Governments.
It was he who bounced Mrs Thatcher into the Single European Act in 1986, selling
it on the grounds that it was to promote "free trade" when of course
it was one of the greatest of the many losses suffered by the British constitution
since 1972.
Despite no mention in any Conservative election manifesto of the
abolition of the currencies of the European Union and the possible abolition of
the pound, Douglas Hurd signed the Maastricht Treaty on Economic and Monetary
Union which said just that. Hurd later, having left office, said "I have
never been an advocate of the Single European Currency ... it is a drastic proposal.
... every citizen in the high street in Europe will be told that what he or she
has in his or purse will be trash." But it was he, by not using the British
veto and signing the Maastricht Treaty, who had condemned "every citizen
in the High Street in Europe" to just that fate!
In a speech on 3rd
February 1998, 9 months after the disastrous government of which he had been a
leading member had departed, Hurd gave a speech to the CBI Northern Region members
luncheon in which he compared the approaches of the Labour and Tory Parties to
the Euro:
One leader follows a policy of "wait, encourage and decide"
the other "oppose, wait and decide". This is hardly a battleground of
principle which is a relief to those of us who have never been enthusiastic about
a single currency, but have accepted that British interests may induce us eventually
to take part. Meanwhile British manufacturing and financial services have to equip
themselves urgently to succeed in a world where the Euro is a leading currency,
whether or not Britain takes part.
This short extract tells us so much about
the weak, unprincipled waffle which has characterised the Establishment British
politician since the 1960s and still grips the Tory party today. Naturally if
you believe that the abolition of a nation's currency, central bank and Treasury
is not a matter of either principle or constitutional concern then you are the
kind of buffoon who will betray your democratic nation with the same lack of concern
as you would choose a different suit. It is a "relief to Hurd not to have
to fight on a "battleground of principle" and he believes that under
certain circumstances it can be in the national interest to abolish the nation!
In this the equally "pragmatic" and constitutionally ignorant Blair
of course supports him. Finally we get an insight into the economic illiteracy
of the Foreign Office mandarin (for Hurd was more a civil servant than a democrat)
when he predicts that the Euro will be one of the world's "leading currencies".
The Euro continues to fail, even when the world economy has shown remarkably steady
growth rates for nearly a decade and it is regarded with the same universal contempt
as is the (ultimately treasonous) career of Douglas Hurd.
The author of
this book had the opportunity to question Douglas Hurd after the signing of the
Maastricht Treaty and just before its consideration by parliament in 1993. The
then Prime Minister John Major had repeatedly claimed in public, in parliament
and in interviews that the Treaty actually restored elements of British self-governance
through the principle of so-called "subsidiarity". I approached Hurd
and said "Mr Hurd, you know that in fact the Maastricht Treaty, with its
acceptance of the acqis communautaire and the continued recognition of the authority
of the European Court of Justice means that not one iota of self governance will
in fact be returned to the United Kingdom." Hurd replied "Yes, that
is right." Was this a man who did not know what he was saying or was it someone
who knew that his Prime Minister was telling lies?
On another occasion John
Major, just before the second referendum in Denmark, said in Parliament that if
Denmark voted NO then the United kingdom would not proceed with ratifying the
Maastricht Treaty. A few weeks later, in the final week before voting Hurd visited
Denmark and, asked whether Britain would indeed not proceed with the Maastricht
Treaty if Danes said no, replied that that was not the case. This was of course
a fatal blow to the Danish "No" Campaign.
It falls to few men
in their lifetime to betray one country, but the Rt. Hon Douglas Hurd has achieved
the unique feat of betraying two.
9. BRITAIN'S PATTERN OF INTERNATIONAL
TRADE
Britain's trade and international investment patterns are totally
different from and irreconcilable with most other EU member states. The percentage
of the economy internationally traded and the international location of investment
income differ greatly. British wealth in oil, gas and coal (traded in US Dollars)
and the largest business investments in the United States economy mean that the
important currency for British business is the US Dollar, not the EURO and yet
we have never contemplated the surrender of our sovereign and democratic nation
to the USA.
The remarkable characteristic of the British economy is its
wealth of global, international investments. The total stock of inward investment
by other countries in the UK in 2000 was £252 billion but the total stock
of our investments overseas stood at £2,000 billion. After the USA Britain
attracts more foreign inward investment than any other country in the world. In
the year 2000/2001 (after two years of the non-membership of the EURO which eurofanatics
claimed would be so disastrous) foreign direct investment in the UK stood at record
levels. Investment projects rose from 757 the previous year to 869 and involved
the creation of 71,488 jobs. Indeed this inward investment - has evidently been
so spurred by non-membership of the EURO that it could now be regarded as a somewhat
excessive boon!
British exports to the European Union account for only 9%
of Gross National Product. To allow the Union, through a Single European Currency
to control our country and our economy for the sake of the 9% of our Gross National
Product which goes to that small group of countries called The European Union
is a madness of historical proportions - especially since that trade has for 25
years been massively loss-making. (Total deficit since 1972 over £150,000m).
European
Countries outside the European Union trade far more of their GDP with the EU than
does Britain. For instance Switzerland has always been outside the EU and yet
66% of its exports go to other European Union countries. The EURO has, as this
author predicted, already heightened trade tensions between Europe and the USA.
While the international economy was slipping towards recession in 1999 and stock
markets around the world had crashed following the economic crises in Russia and
Japan, the European Union maintained its controls on imports of Russian steel
and Japanese cars. The European Union, said the US Trade Representative Charlene
Barschevsky, had left the USA to act "not only as the market of last resort
but of first resort".
The United Kingdom had equally been left in
the lurch by our "partners" in the European Union when the Pound was
collapsing inside the European Exchange Rate Mechanism in 1992, which ended in
"Black Wednesday", the removal of a Chancellor of the Exchequer and
the massive defeat of the Tory Party some years later. Those who claim to be our
"partners" but who are in fact so totally out of kilter with the British
economy and at best uninterested in or at worst antagonistic towards British interests
will not, indeed cannot, change their policies to suit us. It is with the USA
that we share language, trade patterns, legal systems, legal rights and vast mutual
investments, not the countries of continental Europe.
Leading EU politicians
always said that they wanted a "soft" EURO (that is a low exchange rate
against other currencies) but even they could not have anticipated such a massive
collapse of the currency against the Pound and the US Dollar - the latter by nearly
25%. This collapse has meant a large increase in Euro-zone exports to the USA
and has made US exports more expensive in Europe. Prior to the advent of the Euro
such "beggar thy neighbour" policies were not easy when 15 currencies
needed to be co-ordinated. With one EURO, protectionist Europe has found in the
collapse of its currency a weapon as potent as any tariff barrier - except that
unlike illegal tariffs currency depreciation cannot be adjudged under world trade
rules.
But it is not just against the Pound and the US Dollar that the Euro
has fallen dramatically, it has also fallen considerably against the Japanese
Yen since its launch in January 1999. Indeed Japanese funds which invested heavily
in the Euro (believing German and French claims that it would be a "powerful
world currency") were then forced to sell since under Japanese fund management
it is obligatory to sell after assets have fallen by a given amount. Therefore
for both the Japanese and American Governments, who have seen their Euro investments
collapse, for Japanese and American investment funds and of course for Japanese
and American corporations the dramatic fall of the Euro has wiped out billions
of Dollars worth of assets. The collapse has of course also made Euro-zone exports
to Japan and the USA artificially cheap, upset the whole balance of world trade
and caused friction between the European Union, Japan and the USA. German Europe
does not have to go to war in order to cause chaos in international relations
10.
THE EURO-DISASTER FOR GERMANY
Paradoxically it is the corporations of Germany
and France which have done most to undermine the Euro by fleeing the Euro-zone
for the USA and Britain. German industry has in recent years invested tens of
billions of Pounds in the United Kingdom and hundreds of French companies have
fled to southern Britain to escape the social, financial and employment consequences
of the European Union and its falling currency. The total net outflow of investment
from the Euro-zone since the launch of the Euro is in excess of £170 billion.
If the proof of a pudding is in the eating then German and French companies are
vomiting Euros.
Contrary to the lies of the "European Movement"
the much-trumpeted Maastricht criteria for joining the EURO were never met. Only
3 of the 11 countries which "qualified" had met the debt levels set
out in the Treaty by the time of the Euro launch in January 1999. Italy and Belgium
had twice the levels of debt laid down in the Treaty. Neither Italy nor France
had met the budget deficit limits but had "fudged" the figures by large
one-off budgetary tricks.
The Maastricht criteria covered government debt
and spending levels and inflation but, crucially there was no Maastricht limit
for unemployment which was (and despite recent falls still is) at crisis levels
throughout the European Union. It indicates the grotesque lack of democratic accountability
within the European Union and within the governments of France, Germany and Italy
that very high unemployment was not a cause of concern to be included in the "convergence
criteria" and that therefore the jobs of voters could be sacrificed on the
altar of the budget and inflation criteria which were in the Maastricht Treaty.
The
EURO, even before it was launched in 1999, had proved to be a very weak currency.
Even in anticipation of the Euro the Deutschmark fell by about 30% against the
Pound between 1992 and 1998 and has since fallen a further 12%, the most dramatic
collapse of the German currency since the 1920s when the political and economic
seeds of fascism and National Socialism were sown. Had anyone sat down to deliberately
recreate conditions of economic instability, social alienation and national resentment
of 1930s Germany in the modern era, they could not have done better than establish
the European Union and the Euro.
During his campaign to persuade his
own countrymen of the wisdom of abolishing his nation's currency Chancellor Kohl
was so worried about the rejection of the Euro that he asked the European Commission
to stop "selling" the idea in Germany since it was making Germans angry
and turning them against the abolition of the Deutschmark. It is a true fascist
who forbids the truth in his own country - in case his people then reject his
lies. But Germans - and Frenchmen - have always rejected the Euro, by between
60 and 90% in opinion polls (and continue to do so to this day after their national
currencies have been abolished), but democratic accountability has never been
a strong element in the authoritarian politics of continental Europe, as the arrogant
characters of Kohl, Delors and Mitterand so often testified.
A former President
of the German Central Bank (Bundesbank) said that a Single European Currency would
mean a single "trade policy, finance and budget policy, social and wage policy
... in brief a federal state". The German people listened to their own economic
experts and did not believe their "democratic leaders". There were two
institutions in Germany which commanded the respect of the German people, both
established in the post war constitution of 1949 - the Bundesbank and the Bundes-Verfassungsgericht
(the Federal Constitutional Court). Helmut Kohl undermined both. The first was
to guarantee the stability of the new Deutschmark so there could be no return
to the wheelbarrow loads of confetti which the Reichsmark became in the early
1920s. One of the greatest Eurofanatic myths is that the German currency has proved
more "stable" than the Pound. In January 1921 there were 64 Reichsmarks
to the US Dollar. By November 1923 there were 4,200,000,000,000 Reichsmarks to
the Dollar. Whereas the Pound has been in circulation for hundreds of years most
continental currencies, like the long defunct Reichsmark, have been replaced in
various "currency reforms" or simply disappeared as those countries'
constitutions collapsed.
The Federal Constitutional Court was to guarantee
the legal and human rights of the individual and the kind of stable and trustworthy
constitutional democracy which Germany had never before experienced. The arbitrary
suspension of the rule of law during the Weimar Republic and the enthusiastic
adoption of those emergency laws by Hitler required a strong and publicly trusted
institution which would lead Germans to trust their democratic representatives.
The
very man who claimed to have re-established German unity - Helmut Kohl, destroyed
the credibility of these two institutions. The first to lose its national credibility
was the Bundesbank which Kohl forced to accept (following the fall of the Berlin
Wall and the re-unification of West and East Germany in 1989) a ridiculous exchange
rate at which "Ostmarks", the currency of East Germany, would be converted
into Deutschmarks. Kohl was interested in buying as many votes as possible in
the former East Germany to boost his chances of re-election. He therefore overruled
the advice of the Bundesbank and fixed a conversion rate which gave an artificial
boost to the savings of East Germans. Unfortunately that exchange rate also made
East German industry even more uncompetitive than the previous communist regime
had already made it! As a result there was a massive spending spree in East Germany
and an equally massive exodus of East Germans to the West, where the infrastructure
was scarcely able to absorb them. Naturally this grotesque behaviour by Kohl,
interfering politically in one of the previously unpoliticised pillars of the
German constitution, completely devalued the credibility of the Bundesbank and
established a precedent for political manipulation of monetary matters, which
was then applied with a vengeance to the abolition of the Deutschmark itself and
the introduction of the collapsing Euro.
The Maastricht Treaty on Economic
and Monetary Union which established the Euro was also the issue which led Kohl
to undermine the other pillar of post war German democracy - the Federal Constitutional
Court. The Court was called upon to determine whether the Maastricht treaty was
compatible with the German constitution. It patently was not but Kohl's Government
lied to the Court and put such pressure on it that one Professor of Jurisprudence
said "Germany is no longer a law based state". In other words Kohl and
his eurofanatic henchmen had effectively suspended the rule of law and substituted
it with the rule of the arbitrary whim of politicians - the word fascism springs
to mind to describe such antics, a fascist attitude so succinctly put by Kohl
himself in his notorious statement that "might is right in politics and war".
Ironically
it was Germany which was the first country to really suffer from the loss of its
currency and therefore from the loss of self-government. The resignation of their
Finance Minister, Oskar Lafontaine came after he had mistakenly believed that
a) he was still finance minister of a self-governing country, b) the Germany economy
still existed and c) he could use his position as an elected politician to influence
interest rates. Of course he eventually woke up to the fact that none of this
was true so, powerless as he was, he resigned. This extraordinary episode shows
just how weak and vulnerable what we call "German democracy" has become
in the new Europe, built ironically by German politicians.
Just as Douglas
Hurd betrayed the democratic nation of the United Kingdom, so Helmut Kohl destroyed
the prosperous democratic nation which was Germany. Was Kohl's recreation of all
the characteristics of Weimar Germany and the power seeking, euro-integration
policies of Hitler just accident and stupidity or was it intention and malice?
Like all truly obnoxious movements in history it really does not matter. Whether
by accident or intent politicians like Kohl, Major, Hurd, Cook, Blair and Mitterand
seem to achieve almost identical outcomes to those desired by the more overtly
evil. One of the greatest dangers in political history is to regard a few individuals
who we now know did great evil as unique and whose death many years ago therefore
removed the possibility of similar evils today. Hitler and Mussolini we now know
did evil things but they were both originally socialist, they were both Roman
Catholic, they were both leaders of parties which stood for election, they were
both elected to power, they both had support among the British and European political
elites. What better pedigree could a BBC interviewer wish? And yet...
So
let us look at just a few of the remarkable parallels in the life and work of
Helmut Kohl and Adolf Hitler. Hitler in his school days used to rub out the borders
of Germany in his Atlas. As a young man Kohl was arrested for ripping out border
posts between Germany and France. Kohl said "might is right in politics and
war", Hitler said "The world belongs to the man with guts - God helps
him". Hitler said that Czechoslovakia had "got on the wrong train"
and had no choice but to go the way Germany dictated "because the points
were set that way" whereas Kohl claimed that "Germany is the locomotive
of the European train" and if Britain was not careful it would "miss
the train".
Hitler destroyed Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia and created
petty nationalist states in Slovakia and Croatia. Helmut Kohl's German Europe
has broken up Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia, Slovakia driving out its gypsies,
Croatia its Serbs and Albania its gypsies, Jews and Serbs.
Hitler established
a personal election fund into which German and overseas corporations put substantial
funds - Kohl faced prosecution for doing the same. Hitler's Nazis claimed that
their integration of Europe was "fated" and "inevitable".
Kohl said that "There is no alternative to combination unless we wish to
challenge fate" and the constitutional treaties of Germany's European Union
assert on virtually every page that it is "irrevocable and irreversible".There
are two great differences - whereas Hitler was confronted and defeated by Britain,
the United States and their allies, Kohl recruited NATO on his side, (NATO even
aiding the ethnic cleansing of Serbs from Croatia and Albania which Hitler and
Mussolini had begun. Secondly whereas Hitler failed to integrate the free nations
of Europe into an undemocratic German dominated superstate, Kohl succeeded.
Mass
unemployment and deflation in Germany led the (socialist/green) Government to
encourage trade unions to press for much higher wages with demands for 6 to 7%
pay rises - where inflation is virtually zero. Since the German economy no longer
exists this means that other countries within the EURO will have to pay for these
pay rises - with higher unemployment or lower real wages or perhaps higher interest
rates. (This is of course also true of the awards of subsidies and pay rises in
France by the French government in attempts to appease striking farmers, fishermen,
teachers and just about any group which has a grievance.) But, just like Oskar
Lafontaine with the European Bank, so the Governments and electorates of those
other countries have no power to influence German wage claims and settlements.
The circle of irresponsibility and lack of accountability is very wide!
It
has always been the cry of the economic illiterates who urged Britain into the
European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) and who support the permanent fixing of
exchange rates in the EURO that everything would have been all right if "we
had gone in earlier" or "at a different exchange rate". In fact
of course there is never a good time to destroy currencies or fix prices. (How
ironic that politicians who parrot the joys of a "dynamic economy" are
the first to remove the dynamic movement of currencies!). Germany joined the EURO
at an exchange rate which did not reflect its very high labour costs (40% more
than in France, 50% more than in Italy or Britain and 80% more than in Spain.
Really it now needs a big devaluation against the other EU countries in the EURO.
But it is now impossible since the Deutschmark does not exist. Germany is therefore
permanently trapped into a very high cost of production which will institutionalise
its high unemployment - unless it can persuade other EU countries to pay themselves
massively more, or persuade Germans to leave Germany in their millions to find
work in other countries - but those alternatives would cause even more chaos.
In
Germany as in the United Kingdom and other EU countries governments have acted
without parliamentary approval, and where parliamentary approval was unavoidable
they have acted without ever stating their intentions in a democratic manifesto.
Where the overall aims of the Euro-State were set down in vague language elected
politicians relinquished power to the European Court of Justice which daily makes
laws by bypassing national parliaments and overturning without any democratic
approval the laws passed by those parliaments. In the Council of Ministers, British
and German ministers cast a vote in a forum in which they are outvoted and accept
the majority decision of other governments about how their electorates should
be governed internally. Nothing could be more likely to alienate voters and destroy
the delicate balance of democratic acceptability, which the Western allies had
painstakingly built up in Europe in general and in Germany in particular, since
the second world war.
11. BRITISH BUSINESS AND THE POUND
One of
the naive questions put to business about the EURO (requesting of course as usual
a response "purely from a business point of view"!) was "Would
the Euro provide currency stability for your business?" The naive businessman
would then reply "Oh yes it would save me worrying about the change in the
value of the Pound against the Deutschmark, Franc etc."
But the whole
purpose of currencies is to reflect the true size, nature and health of a national
economy and its trade and financial relations with other countries. As with any
other economic variable if it is fixed then it can no longer fulfil its function,
the knowledge it imparts is no longer available and of course decision-making
becomes more difficult. In addition when one variable is fixed other variables
(like the balance of payments, employment or exports) must change more dramatically
in order to re-establish a balance.
Usually in times of poor trading conditions
the Pound would fall so that imports could be curtailed, exports promoted and
real wages fall in terms of other currencies, thus encouraging inward investment.
But the abolition of the Pound would mean that taxes would have to rise to pay
for extra social payments. (The unemployed are unlikely to move to other parts
of the new single currency market since that would mean going to live (in large
numbers) in other countries with all the linguistic, cultural and political alienation
that would cause).
For businesses the putative saving on changing currencies
would be more than balanced by a fall in profits, redundancy payments and a falling
share price. This is of course exactly what happened when Britain had a dress
rehearsal for the EURO inside the Exchange Rate Mechanism. Within 18 months unemployment
had risen by 1.5 million, company bankruptcies had reached record levels, housing
repossessions had affected one million people and billions of pounds were expended
trying to support the unsupportable exchange rate to which the Exchange Rate Mechanism
had committed us.
Such was the experience of fixing (and therefore effectively
temporarily abolishing) the Pound between 1990 and 1992. But there had been a
previous attempt by Chancellor Nigel Lawson in 1987 when he decided to "shadow
the Deutschmark". On that occasion the "strong" Deutschmark fell
in value and took the Pound with it, causing considerable inflation in the United
Kingdom. In retrospect British "businessmen" (by which politicians usually
mean the CBI!) on both occasions claimed that the idea was right but we "went
in at the wrong rate". Needless to say this nonsensical excuse is now wearing
rather thin.
If two or more countries wish to abolish themselves then they
should openly take the political decision so to do. The combining of parliaments,
taxation and social policies might lead eventually to similar trade links, industrial
policies, financial structures and social and political attitudes. If that point
were ever reached those countries could perhaps abolish their separate currencies
but to put the currency horse before such a carriage is of course a recipe for
disaster. Those businessmen who wish to abolish the Pound because it is (at the
time of writing, 2001) too high were not long ago saying we must join the EURO
because the Pound was too weak. There could be no better example of why we should
never make important political - never mind constitutional - decisions based on
the "pragmatic" decisions of businessmen. In fact if the Pound is strong
our earnings (although less in Pound terms) are much greater in terms of other
countries' currencies - therefore we are richer. Indeed all our assets including
the 80% of our economy which is not traded is also worth much more in world-wide
terms.
If the Pound is weak then our exports become more competitive, and
imports become more expensive. Therefore exports tend to rise and imports tend
to fall. Thus a moving exchange rate restores balance without massive dislocation.
The important thing about the Pound is that it reflects what is really happening
in our economy, not in Germany's or France's or some fictional "Europe".
The
bible of the businessman in Britain - and indeed internationally - is the London
based Financial Times which in the modern era represents not so much the
responsible owners of capital but the collective ownership of capital in the large
corporations, pension funds and insurance companies which have so effectively
mopped up the capital of those individuals, families and private businesses that
used to flourish when the United Kingdom was a financial and entrepreneurial success.
As the high point of corporatism the European Union has naturally been a great
favourite of this corporatist newspaper which has been prepared to sacrifice the
democratic constitution of the United Kingdom in the pursuit of the greater profits
of its corporatist readers.
Not long ago The Financial Times gave support
to the arch Europhile and former European Commissioner Sir Leon Brittan (a former
Cabinet Minister sacked for misbehaviour and unelectable in the UK, who like that
other electoral liability Neil Kinnock therefore made his lucrative career in
Brussels where elections never take place). Brittan had asserted that the abolition
of the nations of Europe will make war impossible. Of course if the nations have
been conquered then there is certainly no need to wage war against them. And if
they no longer exist then naturally they can no longer fight. But power does not
just disappear and the abolition of sovereign competing nations means their replacement
by a superpower without democratic credentials but with the kind of international
swagger which is far more likely to cause wars than democratic nations going about
their own business. A glance at the kind of arrogant supranational bullying characterised
by the remarks of the great "integrators" of the European Union will
show the extent of that danger.
But the idea that if you abolish conflicting
parties you abolish conflicts and that the larger a power becomes the more responsible,
is the logic of tyranny throughout the ages and the logic of corporatism and collectivism
during the 20th century. If competing companies are taken over by the state then
you do not need to abolish competition. If the individual is merely a puppet of
the State then we can be spared the conflict of free elections. If all personal
capital is taxed away then we can abolish the conflicts inherent in competition.
If all workers are forced into a closed shop then they cannot "conflict"
with each other and big corporations can deal "efficiently" with only
one monolithic trade union.
The disgraceful truth is that neither the abolition
of the 11 national currencies (of the Euro-zone) nor the effective abolition of
those nations' parliaments and the castration of their governments was ever mentioned
in the manifesto of any "democratic" political party. The Euro and indeed
the entire edifice of the European Union, designed from the beginning to abolish
the free nations of Europe (in whose name the allies fought and won two world
wars) were established by small cliques of corporatist anti-democratic politicians
and large multinational corporations behind the backs of voters, parliaments and
democrats in every EU country. The house magazine of such multinationals is The
Financial Times and when one of that paper's most successful journalists, C. Gordon
Tether who founded the Lombard Column made no secret of his opposition to the
European Union, the Bilderberg group and the corporatist threat to democratic
nations, he was sacked. The Editor who sacked him was a certain Mr Fisher, a regular
Bilderberg attendee. Fisher had removed sections of Tether's column which dealt
with the Bilderberg Group and the Lockheed scandal of the 1970s (which involved
bribery of politicians throughout Europe, including, in the Netherlands, the founder
of Bilderberg, Prince Bernhard of the Netherlands). Gordon Tether's Lombard column
was the longest running financial column in the world and the subsequent industrial
tribunal in which he appealed against arbitrary dismissal became the longest in
history - 18 months. (For a comprehensive analysis of the Bilderberg Group see
Europe's Full Circle)
The Financial Times today reflects the views of the collectivists
and corporatists who read it and who represent the new elite in our anti-democratic
society. It is of course possible that, like our financial structures, the Financial
Times will change again and reflect the values of entrepreneurial capitalism,
individualism and democracy, but like the business interests they represent they
are likely to be the last to be aware of and understand the winds of change.
As
Benjamin Disraeli wisely remarked "The world is governed by very different
personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the scenes."
It was precisely such "behind the scenes" manoeuvring by unelected corporatists
which created the European union and its constitutional structures - under the
mild sounding "Common Market". So successful have they been that they
now think that the final step - the abolition of national currencies, national
central banks, national Treasuries and (effectively therefore) national governments
- is achievable.
Within the United Kingdom, businessmen who seek the abolition
of the Pound are a small minority, but through the Confederation of British Industry
(and their affiliated Chambers of Commerce who pretend for propaganda purposes
to be separate) they are accorded disproportionate airtime - especially by the
BBC. Those thousands of businesses represented by the Institute of Directors (39,000
members) and the Federation of Small Businesses (125,000 members) are, like 75%
of the British people, totally opposed to the abolition of the Pound and its replacement
by the EURO.
The Confederation of British Industry was a strong supporter of
the Pound's entry into the European Exchange Rate Mechanism - until it collapsed.
Its predecessor, the Federation of British Industry (FBI) strongly supported the
Gold Standard - the principal cause of the great depression. The FBI also supported
Nazi industry, concluding major agreements as late as March 1939 in Dusseldorf.
This was after Hitler's march into the Rhineland, the Nuremburg race laws, concentration
camps, imprisonment of hundreds of thousands of political prisoners, the Kristallnacht
attacks on the Jews and the invasion of Czechoslovakia). After the war senior
FBI businessmen intervened with the Allied Administration of Germany to try to
defend Nazi businessmen who had collaborated in the financial support of the Reich
(including employing slave labour). The CBI has a unique track record and like
all British businessmen who promote the Euro and the abolition of their own nation's
currency, they cannot be trusted to grasp even the rudiments of democracy.
Foreign
firms register their United Kingdom subsidiaries as members of the "Confederation
of British Industry" - reminiscent of Michael Heseltine's fatuous statement
that he was not interested in British companies but "companies in Britain"!
Many of those firms - in particular Japanese companies - make frequent attacks
on the Pound and propagandise for the EURO. Two such companies are Toyota and
Nissan. Toyota has demanded that its suppliers invoice Toyota in Euros. This means
that the suppliers, nearly all of which are smaller than Toyota, have each to
change their Euros into Pounds. It is rational purely from a business point of
view for Toyota, not its suppliers, to change pounds into Euros if they so wish
since it is cheaper to convert the total amount than for each individual supplier
to convert their shares. Therefore it is evident that Toyota is both passing on
to its British suppliers the costs of its Euro losses and - particularly obnoxious
in a democracy - making a public political point and thereby seeking to change
policy within Britain. This is corporatism - the political involvement of collectives
of capital and labour and their manipulation of democratic government.
But
the supporters of the Eurostate know that big business, with its claims to speak
for all business, in fact does nothing of the sort and it is therefore necessary
to propagandise for support among the hundreds of thousands of small businesses.
A report in the Sunday Times of 10th August 1999 was headlined "Small firms
tout Euro as a stabilising force." The rising Pound had given the Euro-pushers
a hope that British businessmen, their exports hit by the high rate of the Pound
against EU currencies, would be duped into supporting a Single European Currency
and the abolition of the pound as a solution to their problems. (As we noted elsewhere
the corporatist and collectivist see the solutions to a crisis for "x"
in the abolition of "x" rather than in tackling the original causes
of the crisis.)
The article reported that the Natwest Bank was holding seminars
"raising awareness" (!) of the Euro among small firms. In fact the writer
had to admit that, according the Forum of Private Businesses, small businesses
rejected the currency by more than two to one. Indeed 97% of the Federation of
Small Businesses membership voted to leave the so-called "European Union"
all together. Needless to say the Natwest Bank's devotion to "raising awareness"
among Britain's small firms does not derive from a philanthropic desire to educate
but rather from that organisation's own political agenda. The Natwest Bank is
the driving force behind the "Association for Monetary Union in Europe"
and their former Chairman heads the "Action Centre for Europe" which
campaigns for the abolition of the Pound.
Small businesses, like the British
people, are overwhelmingly opposed to the removal of these last vestiges of our
democratic nation and our absorption into the German dominated Eurostate. But
some banking and big business interests, supported by the European Commission,
are desperately trying to seduce the naive in British business into surrendering
their country for (supposed) profit. As we noted above in describing the "fourth
technique" used by the euro-integrationists small businesses are asked not
to worry their little heads about the loss of their country or parliamentary rights
but are asked to decide "purely from a small business point of view".
Is
it not strange that, after continental EU countries have collapsed because of
their attempts to create a European currency, the Natwest Bank and its fellow
corporatists suggest we could rescue ourselves (from our success!) by joining
them in that very currency. Fortunately British small businesses are not so dim.
Unlike their corporatist big brothers they cannot recruit the State to subsidise
their failures so they are used to making decisions on commercial merit not on
political grounds. (For those who wish to take action against those large corporations
which like the Nat West Bank (subsequently Royal Bank of Scotland, RBS) have supported
the worst elements of euro-fanaticism, see Appendix II.
12. BRITAIN
OUTSIDE THE EUROPEAN UNION
One of the purposes of the European Union in
general and the EURO in particular is to resist the "Anglo-Saxon" approach
to liberal economics and politics. This has been made repeatedly clear by leading
French, German and Belgian politicians. They say that the "Anglo-Saxon"
system takes no account of the social costs of its policies and the State must
therefore "control" business and economy to provide a more "compassionate"
environment. But what do we see when we consider the results of this most "compassionate"
approach on two apparently vulnerable sections of workers - women and the old?
A recent study by the Centre for Policy Studies in London found that in France
the real wages of the poorest female workers had increased by only 1% between
1984 and 1994 whereas in Britain the comparable figure (1985-1995) was 19%. In
Germany the unemployment rate for older workers aged 55 to 64 was 14.5% in 1997
while in the USA it was a mere 2.9%. In Britain the unemployment rate in 1999
was 4.5% and the USA 4.5% while in Germany it was 11% and in France 11.4%. As
we pragmatic Anglo-Saxons would say the proof of the pudding is in the eating!
London
- and Britain - are at the centre of the world's finances and economy. Not only
is the European economy far behind but in all except the field of financial derivatives
(financial futures contracts) so is the USA. London dominates the world in international
banking, foreign exchange and foreign equity trading. No wonder the European Union
wants to get its hands on it - neatly packaged for them by the corrupt and ignorant
British political classes. Their chief method of achieving this is the abolition
of the Pound, the Bank of England and the take-over by the EURO and the European
Central Bank in Frankfurt.
In 1999, despite the collapse of the Euro against
the Pound (thus making British goods and services less competitive compared to
Euro-zone countries like Germany, Italy and France) the United Kingdom was the
8th most competitive economy in the world (as well as being the 4th largest).
By contrast those main pillars and drivers of the European union's "integration"
agenda and members of the Euro - France, Germany and Italy were, respectively
ranked 23rd, 25th and 35th in the world.
During the 1930s when large elements
in all the three major political parties were appeasing Hitler and continental
fascism, they tried to persuade Britons of the futility of resisting European
"integration" (yes, the same words were used then) since the British
Empire was of no value and the British economy could not possibly survive, never
mind flourish in a world where nation states were increasingly irrelevant. They
were tragically wrong then and they are even more tragically wrong now.
Today
Britain is the fourth largest economy in the world, it is one of the five members
of the Security Council of the United Nations (Germany for instance is not) one
of the very few nuclear powers in the world, the biggest investor in the world's
largest economy (the USA) a global investor with £2000 billion invested,
the longest parliamentary tradition in the world, the longest surviving currency
and the most stable currency in Europe. With the other nations which share our
Anglo-Saxon heritage, language, parliamentary and legal traditions (the USA, Canada,
Australia, New Zealand) we account for 40% of world trade (the European Union
accounts for only 20%). So much for the predictions of the eurofanatics in the
1930s - and so much for their advice today.
13. BRITAIN INSIDE
THE EUROPEAN UNION - TRAPPED IN THE SINGLE CURRENCY
The much vaunted "opt
out" from the Social Chapter of the Maastricht Treaty was repeatedly shown
to be worthless even before Tony Blair committed the United Kingdom "irrevocably
and irreversibly" to its clutches by signing the Amsterdam Treaty in 1997.
Close inspection of the Maastricht Treaty (not a common practice among the politicians
who supported or signed it) reveals that even the opt out from the Single European
Currency will prove totally impotent. The implications for the UK are so grave
that no one who is serious about the constitutional imperative to save the Pound
could accept the constitutional stranglehold of the European Union itself.
The
abolition of the Pound, or, even if the UK rejects or postpones its abolition,
continuing EU control of the British economy and currency, represents a grave
and imminent crisis. Tragically this crisis - which could literally destroy what
remains of our country - is in the hands of those who either believe in the abolition
of the Pound, the Bank of England and the end of effective sovereign government
in the United Kingdom or those who wrongly believe that if the UK refused to join
the Single Currency we would be immune to the constraints of European economic
and monetary union. When considering the efficacy of the British parliament's
controls over events in the European Union it is worth remembering that all Government
ministers must (according to the Maastricht Treaty) have the power to go to any
European Council meeting "authorised to take binding decisions for the Government
of that member state". This is of course a grotesque denial of the very basis
of democratic parliamentary governance - but then so is the entire creation and
structure of the European Union.
In The Times of 3rd December 1996 it was
reported that the then Chancellor of the Exchequer (Kenneth Clarke) had "won
copper bottomed assurances" which answered the 'groundless fears' of the
Conservative Eurosceptics". If the fears were groundless then why obtain
copper-bottomed guarantees? But far more important was the naivety of a Chancellor
claiming that (in the context of Treaties signed under European law and enforceable
in the (political) European Court) "assurances" between politicians
mean anything at all. For instance under Article 108, describing the controls
exercisable by the European Central Bank over all Member States it specifically
states that "recommendations and opinions shall have no binding force".
In another context and in response to the specific requests of Heads of Government
to open up EU discussions to public scrutiny, the European Court said, "their
declarations were of an eminently political nature and therefore not binding on
community institutions". So much then for Clarke's - or any other Minister's
- "EU assurances"!
Unlike the Danish opt out from the Single Currency,
which is quite clear, the wording of the UK's opt out is ambiguous and therefore
dangerous. In addition Article 109k(2) seems to allow a majority vote of member
states to force the UK to accept a Single Currency. The clause states:
At least
once every two years ... the Council shall, acting by a qualified majority on
a proposal from the Commission decide which Member States with a derogation fulfil
the necessary conditions ... and abrogate the derogations (i.e. end the opt out)
of Member States concerned.
In other words countries which do not want to change
their opt out could be forced to abrogate such an opt out! The European Court
of Justice which sees its aims as "promoting European integration" will
resolve any ambiguity (although there seems to be none).
The constraints
of the Single Market alone are certainly sufficient to let the European Court
of Justice impose economic and exchange rate controls on the United Kingdom even
if we are outside the Single Currency (see below). Any appeal to the Council of
Ministers to overrule such a judgement would have to contend with the kind of
attitude expressed by for example a former French Prime Minister Alain Juppe and
a former Belgian Finance Minister who rejected competitive freedom for those member
states currencies which are outside the EURO. As many of us pointed out to British
Ministers in the mid 1980s when the ludicrous "Single European Act"
was signed, the provisions had nothing to do with competitive economic markets
but everything to do with single political control. Needless to say the freedom
to pursue "beggar thy neighbour" policies by those inside the Euro does
not seem to be affected. The Euro-zone economies, without enforcement of the Single
Market rules (and the EU majority which decides whether to apply them is within
the Euro), thus enjoy a massive and artificial competitive advantage against the
Pound. Like so much else within the European Union it is not the law which rules
but the politicised majority which decides whether the law should be applied.
Article
109.1. of the Maastricht Treaty allows for the European Central Bank (albeit with
a possible UK veto which in the hands of a Gordon Brown could not be relied upon
or in the hands of a government trading off other interests might not materialise)
to "conclude formal agreements on an exchange rate system for the EURO in
relation to non Community currencies". In other words not only will Community
countries which do not join the Single Currency be coerced but also political
power will be used to "negotiate" fixed rates with any country in the
world. This is economic fascism in its true imperialist mode.
Article 108a(2)
of the Treaty of Maastricht makes clear that the European Central Bank shall issue
regulations "binding in its entirety and directly applicable in all member
states" (NB not restricted to those states which join the Single Currency).
These regulations can be applied to "the prudential supervision of credit
institutions and other financial institutions". (ECB Statute 25.2)
The
Maastricht Treaty protocol which describes Britain's "opt out" from
stages 2 and 3 of monetary union is chaotically drafted. On the one hand it says
that "unless the UK notifies the Council that it intends to move to the third
stage of monetary union it shall be under no obligation to do so": on the
other hand it states "Paragraphs 3-9 (the opt out clauses) shall have effect
if the UK notifies the Council that it does not intend to move to the third stage."
So we cannot tell from the wording whether the UK needs to actively opt out or
passively just fail to opt in. This means yet more opportunities for the arbitrating
European Court to adjudicate in the true spirit of the political integration which,
it admits, is its overriding aim.
Whether the UK opts out of abolishing the
Pound or not the Bank of England must subscribe to the capital of the European
Central Bank and transfer "foreign reserve assets and contribute to reserves
on the same basis as the national central bank of a member state whose derogation
has been abrogated" (i.e. which has joined the single currency) (UK opt out
clause 10b). Furthermore the amount of European Central Bank capital demanded
of EU member states can be increased by majority vote. In other words the UK would
have to contribute more capital to something it had opted out of!
Whether the
UK opts out or not Article 9.1 of the protocol on the European Central Bank will
apply, (must be read in conjunction with Article 8. of Protocol on UK opt out).
This allows the Bank to "have legal personality (and) enjoy in each of the
Member States the most extensive legal capacity accorded to legal persons under
its law; it may, in particular, acquire or dispose of movable and immovable property
and may be party to legal proceedings". And all this they could do in the
UK even if we had permanently opted out of a Single Currency!
The former
Chancellor of the Exchequer Kenneth Clarke used to claim that the Government had
no intention of re-joining the ERM and yet he wished to retain his option to join
a single currency. But it is impossible to join the Single Currency without having
remained "within the normal fluctuating margins provided for by the Exchange
Rate Mechanism of the European Monetary System without severe tensions for at
least two years". (Protocol on convergence criteria Article 3). It is precisely
this level of ignorance among leading politicians of all parties, which has permitted
the effective destruction of the British constitution and which now threatens
to hasten the end of the last crutch of our nation's sovereignty - the Pound Sterling.
There
is an array of other duties even for those member states which have opted out
of the Single Currency. For instance Article 102a states:
Member states shall
conduct their economic policies with a view to contributing to the achievement
of the objectives of the Community (note NOT the objectives of individual member
states) Member States shall regard their economic policies as a matter of common
concern and shall co-ordinate them within the Council (of Ministers)
In
a European Commission paper on Stage 3 of Economic and Monetary Union, there is
no mention of "opt outs". Only two categories are mentioned "ins"
and "pre-ins" - not surprising, given the general approach described
above. The status of the "pre-ins" would "be merely transitional".
A new ERM is proposed for those member states not in the Single Currency which
makes the former Conservative Chancellor's belief in the avoidance of the ERM
even if the UK chose to enter EMU even more extraordinary.
Throughout the
tragic relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union, the British
people have been plagued by the failure of their "democratic representatives"
to even read the Treaties they were signing on our behalf. As a result Ministers'
daily impotence in the face of the onrushing juggernaut of the new Eurostate seems
to surprise them. There is in fact but one remaining crutch for that sovereign
nation for which 1.2 million people died in two world wars - the Pound Sterling.
The actions of the last Conservative government fatally undermined even that last
proud bastion of our democratic self-governance. The utterances of the Labour
Chancellor and Prime Minister, who seem totally unaware of the constitutional,
political and even fiscal implications of the Single European Currency, can only
be described as surreal.
There is one clear way of avoiding the difficulties
and traps for the United Kingdom set out here - to take advantage of the illegality
of the entire enterprise of European Economic and Monetary Union which Norris
McWhirter and I described in our book Treason at Maastricht. (The Germans never
ratified the Treaty as signed and therefore the treaty, under any normal democratic
rule of law, would fall. The fact that the juggernaut carries on regardless is
itself proof of the inherently fascist nature of the enterprise.)
Indeed
even remaining within the "European" Union while others press ahead
with a single currency has already gravely threatened the stability of the British
economy - although not by as much as membership of that currency would have entailed.
The catastrophic dislocation of labour and capital markets which a failed Euro
will cause will require enormous social and regional "cohesion" spending
to bridge the fissures caused by imposing a single monetary regime on so many
disparate national and regional economies. Such expenditure will require a large
increase in community funds which can only be agreed by unanimity of member states.
Since the consequences for the British fiscal purse (and every other member state's
finances) would be grave it is extremely unlikely that a principal paymaster -
like Germany or the UK - would vote for such additional funds; equally those countries
which at present benefit from massive subsidies for agriculture (like Ireland)
would almost certainly veto any loss of subsidy to those regions which had lost
industrial jobs as a result of EMU.
Unable to react to massive unemployment
in certain regions and countries, unemployment would rise and national budgets
would breach the strict financial terms of the "Stability Pact". In
addition the innate protectionist forces of Italy, France and Germany would undoubtedly
react against a tragedy of their own making by restricting the exports of "perfidious
Albion". The political costs within the EU are already being felt in the
rise of extremism in Germany and France and the external view of the Euro has
already led to widespread selling on international markets and the migration of
capital to the UK, the USA and other parts of the world. (Recent estimates are
that $170 billion has been exported from the Euro-zone since the currency's foundation.)
The
French and Belgian politicians quoted above assumed that those currencies which
stayed outside the EURO would be weak while the EURO would be strong. As a result
they threatened to apply trade controls on imports from those countries which
stayed within the European Union but did not join the "strong" Euro!
In fact of course (as one has come to expect of the predictions of Euro-leaders)
the exact opposite process has resulted, with those countries likely to join the
EURO being weak. Needless to say there is no talk of protecting British industry
against the predatory priced imports from e.g. Germany, France and Italy whose
currencies collapsed even in anticipation of their membership of EMU.
So
long as the United Kingdom "went along" with European integration in
order to prevent it, there was logic behind our vetoes. As soon as we refused
to use those vetoes, the catastrophe on the continent was inevitable and we should
have long since withdrawn from the political "union" to that relationship
which the British people approved (but did not obtain) in 1975 - that of a free
trading group of sovereign nations, without budgetary or political commitment.
This
(inevitable) move will require the kind of volte face which will frustrate a large
section of the British and continental political Establishments but it will be
less devastating than the electoral holocaust when the people eventually awaken
to the loss of their nations and democracies. As the former head of the American
Federal Reserve Board, Lawrence Lindsey, noted "I am somewhat unsettled by
the secretive nature of the federalist agenda. I am not sure that when European
electorates discover they have surrendered national political sovereignty by adopting
a single currency they will be altogether pleased." Surely the understatement
of the century!